Archive for March, 2009

Saving Your Ratings With Your Facebook Account

Did you know you can save your ratings every week by logging into your Facebook account?

I really hate remembering all my usernames and passwords for every freaking website I visit.  I hope this more “universal” log-in makes this site easier to use.  I’m also looking into implementing Google Friend Connect, which will allow you to save your ratings with either your Google, Yahoo, AIM, or OpenId accounts.  Facebook just happened to be the easiest to implement.

PRIVACY QUESTION: What personal information do I use?

Answer: Just about nothing.  All I do is take a number that uniquely identifies you, and assign it to each of your ratings.  I don’t save any other information, per the rules of Facebook.  I don’t really care what your name is, or what’s on your wall, or any of that.  This is simply an easy way for you (and me) to track your American Idol ratings.

One of these days, I might think about using your city to see the distribution of rankings by region.  Perhaps age and gender one day, too.  But I would NEVER save that info, or have it personally identifiable to you.  I only care about general trends, and it would be interesting to see those cuts of data.

Hope the Facebook login gives you one less password to remember!

Contestant’s time on screen before Top 36 round – Group 1

And here is the amount of screen time given to Group 1 contestants prior to the Top 36 round:

  1. Tatiana del Toro – 15:04
  2. Danny Gokey – 11:47
  3. Jackie Tohn – 9:39
  4. Michael Sarver – 8:47
  5. Anne Marie Boskovich – 5:45
  6. Alexis Grace – 5:16
  7. Anoop Desai – 4:17
  8. Stephen Fowler – 3:29
  9. Stevie Wright – 3:26
  10. Brent Keith – 2:44
  11. Casey Carlson – 2:15
  12. Ricky Braddy – 0:06

Michael Sarver and Anoop Desai

The most interesting thing to note is that Michael Sarver had TWICE the air time of Anoop Desai!  That’s amazing to me!  The big difference in air time between the two is that Anoop’s air time focused almost solely on his singing (with a digression about his BBQ thesis), while Michael Sarver’s included both his singing AND his backstory.

Could it be possible that Michael received a few more votes, because the audience is more emotionally connected to Michael’s inspiring backstory?  What if Anoop was given an equal amount of screen time, not only about his performances, but also about his personal story?  Would the results have been different?

Ricky Braddy and Danny Gokey

Of all the contestants, I believe Ricky Braddy suffered the most from lack of screen time.  He sang very well, and I would even say that he sang just as well as Danny Gokey (also remember that Paula called Ricky’s performance “flawless”).  Ricky received a whopping 6 seconds of airtime, with exactly 0 seconds of actual singing from him!

What if we had seen AND heard Ricky prior to his first performance?  Personally, I believe he would have gotten many more votes.  American Idol is a huge game of perception, and voters’ perceptions are influenced by knowing the backstories of the contestants.  For example, we feel Danny Gokey emotionally connect to his performances, because we know the sad story about his wife.  In the absence of this knowledge, would we still hail Danny as a front-runner?  Probably yes, but not likely to the same degree.

My issue is we don’t have equal information about all the contestants.  Through their editing and comments, the American Idol editors and judges have a huge influence on how much we know about each contestant, and therefore which contestants we ultimately vote for.  The disparity of air time among Group 1 definitely exhibits these biases.

Airtimes before Top 36 – Group 2

From highest to lowest, here was the amount of screen time allocated to each of the contestants up to the last Hollywood Week episode, for contestants in Group 2:

  1. Nick Mitchell – 10:57
  2. Matt Breitzke – 8:50
  3. Adam Lambert – 8:37
  4. Kai Kalama – 5:22
  5. Matt Giraud – 5:00
  6. Megan Joy Corkrey – 3:39
  7. Jasmine Murray – 2:49
  8. Jesse Langseth – 2:37
  9. Allison Iraheta – 2:09
  10. Kris Allen – 1:50
  11. Mishavonna Henson – 1:07
  12. Jeanine Vailes – 0:20

Given that 2 of this group’s winners ranked #9 and #10 in screen time, it seems clear that previous screen time wasn’t a huge factor for this round.  However, screen time probably wasn’t a big factor because of the composition of the contestants in this group.

On the boys side, Adam Lambert had, essentially, no competition.  His closest competitor in hindsight was Matt Giraud and Kris Allen, the former of which sounded awful singing a Coldplay song, and the latter of which was barely seen at all in the audition rounds.  In fact, much of Kris Allen’s screen time came during the group round, of which he was a part of “White Chocolate” with India Morrison.  When he had been on air, the story wasn’t even about him!  Adam’s clearly superior talent level was the most important factor this round, not screen time.

On the girls side, notice how NONE of the girls cracked the top 5 in screen time (Kris Allen was the only male that didn’t make the top half of screen time).  This was a very under-exposed group of singers.  In a weird way, because none of the girls had much screen time, they were all playing on level ground.  The only person who really got shafted was Jeanine, who had never been shown singing (and probably for good reason).

So all in all, screen time wasn’t a huge factor for Group 2.  Personally, I like it this way.  When you don’t have expectations for a performance, you get really pleasant surprises from talents like Allison Iraheta and Kris Allen.  I found their performances just as, if not more, entertaining as Adam Lambert’s, whose talent is great, but kind of expected based on his previous exposure.

EW: Was Wildcard Fair?

I loved this article from Entertainment Weekly, which enumerates exactly how I feel about a) the wildcard structure and b) how Kristen McNamara and Ju’Not Joyner got shafted when they weren’t picked for the wild-card round.

Should Scott Macintyre be in the Top 12?

I just re-listened to his performance, and I thought Scott was off-pitch for a lot of the song.  Now, I’m not saying he sang poorly, but on second listen, I think it’s clear that Ju’Not Joyner was the 2nd best male performance of the night, and deserved one of the spots in the Top 12.  At the very least, Ju’Not deserved a wild card spot over any one of the 4 female wild-cards.

Top 36 – Group 3 Thoughts

I’m really interested to see how the results turn out for this group.  For the girls, it’s obvious Lil Rounds will get in.  For the guys, either Jorge Nunez or Scott Macintyre.

I’m VERY interested to see who the wild card will be.  Is it possible a girl will be the 3rd qualifier?  I think the dark horse candidate is Kendall Beard.  Past seasons have shown that Southern, country-music-style contestants are very, very popular among the American Idol viewers.  Could Kendall be the next beneficiary from this demographic voting bloc?  Michael Sarver already has benefited.

I will expand on this in another post, but I think performance order was very important this week.   More to come later.

Rate | Statistics

Group 3’s Time Spent on Camera To Date

Here’s how much time each of the Group 3 contestants have spent on camera.  This includes all audition episodes through the last Hollywood Week episode.

  1. Nathaniel Marshall – 14:43
  2. Kristen McNamara – 13:13
  3. Alex Wagner-Trugman – 10:38
  4. Jorge Nunez – 8:05
  5. Von Smith – 7:38
  6. Lil Rounds – 7:00
  7. Taylor Vaifanua – 6:31
  8. Scott Macintyre – 6:27
  9. Arianna Afsar – 6:01
  10. Kendall Beard – 2:32
  11. Ju’Not Joyner – 0:55
  12. Felicia Barton – 0:33

The top two had lots of screen time during Hollywood Week, but much of that was drama.  Jorge Nunez was up there because he had lots of screen time in his San Juan audition.

I’m most interested in seeing how people react to Kendall Beard, Ju’Not Joyner, Felicia Barton, who really haven’t been seen at all.  This goes for Arianna Afsar too, whose singing hasn’t even been heard since her first audition, which aired over a month ago.

After the episode, you can rate each of the performances on a scale of 1-10 here at Reality Rate and Predict

Rate This Week’s Performances
| See User Ratings for this week’s performances

Interesting observations from Hollywood Week

I’m currently re-watching the 4 episodes of Hollywood week.  The main reason is to track how much air time each of the contestants have gotten before the Top 36 rounds, and see if the amount of exposure influences future voting.

I’m done with the first 3 Hollywood Week episodes, and am about 1/4 of the way through the final episode (i.e. the “Green Mile” episode).  Here are some things I noticed:

  • Tatiana del Toro is probably the most annoying contestant in American Idol history.  However, I found it interesting that Rose Flack actually received more screen time than Tatiana during the group round episodes.
  • Surprisingly, Anoop Desai hasn’t actually gotten much screen time.  During Hollywood week, he’s been shown for about 2 minutes, with over half of that time occurring during the Green Mile episode.  He didn’t even appear in the Group Round episode.
  • Nick Mitchell/Normal Gentle has sung the Dreamgirls song 3 times (Audition, Hollywood day 1, Top 36 round 2).
  • During the third Hollywood episode (the one where they put them into rooms), the Group 2 shown on camera consisted almost entirely of Top 36 contestants.
  • Before the Green Mile episode, Ricky Braddy has been shown exactly once, for less than a second.  Given how great his voice is, do you think this affected his voting results last week?
  • There are many strong male contestants, but seemingly very few strong female contestants.
  • There are many instances where a contestant is shown on camera, but not mentioned in the voiceovers.  Casey Carlson, Anne Marie Boskovich, Michael Castro, and Joanna Pacitti all seemed to have been shown a lot in the background, but not mentioned.

Once I’m done with Hollywood week, I’ll take a look at how much screen time each of the next 12 Top 36 contestants have had to date.

Allison Iraheta and the Michael Phelps phenomenon

I was very impressed by Allison Iraheta’s performance last Tuesday.  However, her pre- and post-performance interviews revealed her lack of charisma.  To be fair, she’s only 16, and probably still struggling with her own identity.  But I feel like I’ve seen this recipe before: precocious talent and an utter lack of personality… i.e. Michael Phelps our American hero.

While Michael Phelps can look like a complete idiot on SNL, it doesn’t diminish his swimming skills.  That’s not necessarily the case with Allison, and with singers in general.  Somehow, personality influences our perception of a singer’s abilities.  I hope I’m completely wrong, because that girl can sing, and I want to see her go far.

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